Monday, February 23, 2009

February 23, 2009 Bracket

It's Judgment Week, and almost conference tourney time. By then, the bubble picture should start to clear up and we'll have a better idea of who's legit and who's starting to quit.

SOUTH REGION (Memphis):
#1 Oklahoma (25-2) vs. #16 Winner of Jacksonville (15-11)/Alabama State (15-8)
#8 UCLA (20-7) vs. #9 Wisconsin (17-10)
#5 Villanova (22-5) vs. #12 San Diego State (18-7)
#4 Wake Forest (20-5) vs. #13 Davidson (22-6)
#6 Gonzaga (21-5) vs. #11 South Carolina (19-6)
#3 Clemson (22-4) vs. #14 Vermont (22-7)
#7 Syracuse (19-8) vs. #10 Siena (22-6)
#2 Michigan State (21-5) vs. #15 Stephen F. Austin (17-7)

WEST REGION (Glendale):
#1 Pittsburgh (25-2) vs. #16 Tennessee-Martin (19-7)
#8 Utah (19-7) vs. #9 Tennessee (16-10)
#5 Illinois (22-6) vs. #12 Maryland (17-9)
#4 Washington (20-7) vs. #13 Weber State (18-8)
#6 California (20-7) vs. #11 UNLV (20-7)
#3 Xavier (22-5) vs. #14 North Dakota State (21-6)
#7 Florida State (21-6) vs. #10 Ohio State (17-8)
#2 Kansas (22-5) vs. #15 Radford (17-10)

EAST REGION (Boston):
#1 North Carolina (24-3) vs. #16 Morgan State (18-10)
#8 Minnesota (20-7) vs. #9 Arizona (18-9)
#5 Butler (23-4) vs. #12 Kentucky (19-8)
#4 Marquette (23-4) vs. #13 VCU (19-9)
#6 LSU (23-4) vs. #11 Penn State (19-8)
#3 Louisville (21-5) vs. #14 AR-Little Rock (20-7)
#7 Texas (18-8) vs. #10 Dayton (23-4)
#2 Duke (22-5) vs. #15 Cornell (18-8)

MIDWEST REGION (Indianapolis):
#1 Connecticut (25-2) vs. #16 Long Beach State (13-12)
#8 Florida (21-6) vs. #9 Creighton (23-6)
#5 Arizona State (21-5) vs. #12 Kansas State (19-8)
#4 Purdue (21-6) vs. #13 American (19-7)
#6 West Virginia (19-8) vs. #11 Boston College (19-9)
#3 Missouri (23-4) vs. #14 Buffalo (17-8)
#7 Utah State (25-3) vs. #10 BYU (20-6)
#2 Memphis (24-3) vs. #15 Robert Morris (19-10)

Bubble Watch:
Oklahoma State (17-9, 31)
Temple (17-9, 35)
Texas A&M (19-8, 38)
UAB (19-8, 39)
Georgetown (14-11, 45)
Miami (16-10, 46)
USC (16-10, 49)
St. Mary's (22-5, 51)
Michigan (17-11, 53)
George Mason (18-9, 54)
Cincinnati (17-10, 55)
Baylor (16-10, 57)
Illinois State (22-6, 58)
Western Kentucky (19-8, 60)
Niagara (22-7, 63)
Nebraska (16-9, 64)
Virginia Tech (16-10, 66)
Green Bay (21-8, 67)
Rhode Island (20-8, 68)
Tulsa (18-9, 69)
New Mexico (17-10, 70)

Next Bracket: Monday, March 2
The first automatic bids will be awarded March 7. After that, I will be doing brackets more frequently as more come along.

Monday, February 16, 2009

February 16, 2009 Bracket

EAST REGION (Boston):
#1 Connecticut (24-1) vs. #16 Winner of Morehead State (16-11)/Alabama State (14-8)
#8 Ohio State (17-6) vs. #9 UCLA (19-6)
#5 Xavier (21-4) vs. #12 Florida (19-6)
#4 Wake Forest (19-4) vs. #13 VCU (18-8)
#6 Gonzaga (19-5) vs. #11 Cincinnati (17-9)
#3 Memphis (22-3) vs. #14 AR-Little Rock (19-6)
#7 Dayton (23-3) vs. #10 Siena (20-6)
#2 Michigan State (20-4) vs. #15 Cornell (17-7)

WEST REGION (Glendale):
#1 Pittsburgh (23-2) vs. #16 Morgan State (15-10)
#8 BYU (19-5) vs. #9 Tennessee (16-8)
#5 Purdue (19-6) vs. #12 Boston College (19-8)
#4 Washington (19-6) vs. #13 Buffalo (17-6)
#6 Syracuse (19-7) vs. #11 USC (15-9)
#3 Clemson (20-4) vs. #14 Vermont (20-7)
#7 San Diego State (18-6) vs. #10 Wisconsin (16-9)
#2 Kansas (20-5) vs. #15 Jacksonville (14-10)

SOUTH REGION (Memphis):
#1 Oklahoma (25-1) vs. #16 Radford (15-10)
#8 California (19-6) vs. #9 South Carolina (18-5)
#5 Butler (22-3) vs. #12 Virginia Tech (16-8)
#4 Marquette (21-4) vs. #13 American (17-7)
#6 Utah (18-7) vs. #11 Texas (17-7)
#3 Illinois (21-5) vs. #14 Weber State (17-8)
#7 West Virginia (17-8) vs. #10 Davidson (22-4)
#2 Duke (20-5) vs. #15 North Dakota State (19-6)

MIDWEST REGION (Indianapolis):
#1 North Carolina (23-2) vs. #16 Cal State Northridge (12-10)
#8 Utah State (24-2) vs. #9 Minnesota (19-6)
#5 Arizona State (20-5) vs. #12 Kentucky (18-7)
#4 Louisville (19-5) vs. #13 Northern Iowa (18-8)
#6 LSU (21-4) vs. #11 Arizona (18-8)
#3 Missouri (22-4) vs. #14 Robert Morris (19-8)
#7 Florida State (19-6) vs. #10 UNLV (19-6)
#2 Villanova (20-5) vs. #15 Sam Houston State (14-9)

Bubble Watch:
Maryland (16-8, RPI 58)
Miami (15-9, RPI 47)
St. Joseph's (14-10, RPI 77)
Temple (15-9, RPI 33)
Rhode Island (18-8, RPI 64)
Providence (16-9, RPI 67)
Notre Dame (14-10, RPI 74)
Georgetown (13-10, RPI 37)
Penn State (18-8, RPI 71)
Michigan (16-10, RPI 52)
Northwestern (13-10, RPI 84)
Kansas State (17-8, RPI 76)
Nebraska (15-8, RPI 65)
Oklahoma State (15-9, RPI 38)
Baylor (16-9, RPI 54)
Texas A&M (17-8, RPI 53)
Houston (16-7, RPI 88)
UAB (17-8, RPI 40)
Tulsa (17-9, RPI 70)
Creighton (21-6, RPI 56)
Illinois State (21-5, RPI 59)
Mississippi State (16-9, RPI 83)
Western Kentucky (17-8, RPI 66)
St. Mary's (20-5, RPI 60)

Next Bracket: February 23

Monday, February 9, 2009

February 9, 2009 Bracket

I HAVE to do a better job at ensuring the conferences that will get at least 4 bids or more (ACC, Big East, Pac-10, SEC, Mountain West, Big Ten, etc.) are balanced so that each octet doesn't have two teams in it. But this one worked out better than the last one.

EAST REGION (Boston):
#1 Connecticut (22-1) vs. #16 Winner of Alabama State (12-8)/Princeton (9-8)
#8 Utah (16-7) vs. #9 Arizona State (18-5)
#5 Missouri (20-4) vs. #12 Virginia Tech (15-7)
#4 Butler (21-2) vs. #13 Western Kentucky (17-7)
#6 Ohio State (17-5) vs. #11 UNLV (17-6)
#3 Memphis (20-3) vs. #14 American (15-7)
#7 Florida (19-4) vs. #10 West Virginia (16-7)
#2 Duke (20-3) vs. #15 East Tennessee State (17-6)

SOUTH REGION (Memphis):
#1 Pittsburgh (21-2) vs. #16 Morehead State (14-11)
#8 South Carolina (17-5) vs. #9 Miami (15-8)
#5 Washington (17-6) vs. #12 Utah State (23-1)
#4 Kansas (19-4) vs. #13 Buffalo (16-5)
#6 LSU (19-4) vs. #11 Cincinnati (16-8)
#3 Wake Forest (18-3) vs. #14 Robert Morris (17-8)
#7 San Diego State (17-5) vs. #10 Texas (15-7)
#2 Michigan State (19-4) vs. #15 VMI (19-4)

WEST REGION (Glendale):
#1 Oklahoma (23-1) vs. #16 Long Beach State (12-10)
#8 California (18-6) vs. #9 BYU (17-5)
#5 Villanova (19-4) vs. #12 Boston College (18-7)
#4 Illinois (19-5) vs. #13 Northern Iowa (17-7)
#6 Gonzaga (17-5) vs. #11 Michigan (15-9)
#3 UCLA (19-4) vs. #14 Weber State (15-8)
#7 Syracuse (18-6) vs. #10 Dayton (21-3)
#2 Clemson (19-3) vs. #15 Sam Houston State (13-8)

MIDWEST REGION (Indianapolis):
#1 North Carolina (21-2) vs. #16 Morgan State (13-10)
#8 Tennessee (14-8) vs. #9 Siena (18-6)
#5 Minnesota (18-5) vs. #12 Arizona (16-8)
#4 Louisville (18-4) vs. #13 Northeastern (16-7)
#6 Florida State (18-5) vs. #11 USC (15-7)
#3 Xavier (20-3) vs. #14 North Dakota State (18-5)
#7 Purdue (17-6) vs. #10 Davidson (20-4)
#2 Marquette (20-3) vs. #15 Boston University (14-9)

Also Considered:
Temple (13-9, 44): 1-4 vs. Top 50.
St. Joseph's (14-8, 65): 0-4 vs. Top 50.
Rhode Island (16-8, 67): 1-5 vs. Top 50.
Georgetown (13-9, 37): 4-7 in Big East, 3-5 vs. Top 50.
Providence (14-9, 69): 1-6 vs. Top 50.
Wisconsin (14-9, 27): 3-7 vs. Top 50, 5-6 in Big 10.
Northwestern (13-8, 63): 4-6 in Big 10, 4-5 vs. Top 50.
Penn State (17-7, 84): 3-6 vs. Top 50, too high RPI & SOS.
Oklahoma St. (14-8, 30): 2-7 vs. Top 50.
Texas A&M (17-7, 48): 2-5 vs. Top 50.
Baylor (15-8, 54): 2-7 vs. Top 50.
Nebraska (15-7, 68): 2-4 vs. Top 50.
Kansas State (16-7, 71): 3 quality wins, but too high RPI & SOS.
George Mason (16-7, 57): No QW.
UAB (16-8, 32): 0-5 vs. Top 50.
Tulsa (17-7, 70): Too high RPI & SOS.
Green Bay (19-6, 59): 1-3 vs. Top 50.
Niagara (19-6, 72): 0-2 vs. Top 50.
Miami University (14-7, 56): 1-5 vs. Top 50.
Creighton (19-6, 61): Too high SOS.
St. Mary's (19-4, 60): 210 SOS, bad losses to Portland and Santa Clara.

Next Bracket: February 16

Monday, February 2, 2009

February 2, 2009 Bracket

I must say, it's hard having to shuffle some major teams around to accommodate the lower-seeded major teams. But it must be done, and this is what came out.
Also, I'm bringing back the "Also Considered" section, including reasons for why the teams considered are out.

EAST REGION (Boston):
#1 Duke (19-2) vs. #16 Winner of Morgan State (11-10)/Alabama State (10-8)
#8 Missouri (18-4) vs. #9 South Carolina (16-4)
#5 UCLA (17-4) vs. #12 Dayton (20-2)
#4 Villanova (17-4) vs. #13 Northeastern (15-6)
#6 West Virginia (15-6) vs. #11 Kentucky (16-5)
#3 Illinois (18-4) vs. #14 Cornell (14-6)
#7 UNLV (17-4) vs. #10 Arizona State (16-5)
#2 Clemson (18-2) vs. #15 Vermont (16-6)

SOUTH REGION (Memphis):
#1 Oklahoma (21-1) vs. #16 Morehead State (13-10)
#8 Florida State (16-5) vs. #9 California (16-6)
#5 Syracuse (17-5) vs. #12 Utah State (21-1)
#4 Minnesota (18-3) vs. #13 Northern Iowa (16-6)
#6 Purdue (17-4) vs. #11 USC (15-6)
#3 Xavier (19-2) vs. #14 VMI (17-3)
#7 Georgetown (12-8) vs. #10 Baylor (15-6)
#2 North Carolina (19-2) vs. #15 East Tennessee State (16-6)

MIDWEST REGION (Indianapolis):
#1 Connecticut (20-1) vs. #16 Holy Cross (11-11)
#8 Ohio State (15-5) vs. #9 Texas A&M (17-5)
#5 Memphis (18-3) vs. #12 Virginia Tech (14-7)
#4 Butler (19-1) vs. #13 Buffalo (14-5)
#6 Kansas (17-4) vs. #11 Miami (14-7)
#3 Marquette (19-2) vs. #14 North Dakota State (16-5)
#7 Florida (18-4) vs. #10 St. Mary's (18-3)
#2 Michigan State (17-4) vs. #15 Robert Morris (15-7)

WEST REGION (Glendale):
#1 Pittsburgh (19-2) vs. #16 Long Beach State (11-9)
#8 Davidson (18-3) vs. #9 Siena (17-5)
#5 Texas (15-5) vs. #12 BYU (16-5)
#4 Wake Forest (17-2) vs. #13 Stephen F. Austin (14-5)
#6 Gonzaga (16-4) vs. #11 Boston College (17-6)
#3 Washington (16-5) vs. #14 AR-Little Rock (16-6)
#7 Tennessee (13-7) vs. #10 Utah (14-7)
#2 Louisville (17-3) vs. #15 Weber State (14-8)

Also Considered:
St. Joseph's (12-8, 67): 5-1 in A-10...but only one QW over Cornell.
Temple (12-8, 48): Only 4-2 in A-10, but solid wins over Penn St. and Tennessee.
Rhode Island (15-7, 64): Best wins over VCU and Temple.
Providence (14-7, 63): Syracuse is their only QW.
Cincinnati (14-8, 58): 4-5 in conference, good wins over UNLV and Georgetown.
Notre Dame (12-8, 75): 3-6 in conference, way too low RPI.
Penn State (17-5, 66): Closer than anybody, but RPI and SOS numbers don't help.
Northwestern (12-7, 56): 4 quality wins, but 4-5 conference record.
Michigan (14-8, 54): 4-6 conference record.
Wisconsin (12-9, 37): 3-6 conference record, best win vs. Virginia Tech.
Kansas State (14-7, 76): 3 quality wins, but too high RPI.
Nebraska (13-7, 81): Too high RPI.
Oklahoma State (13-7, 26): 2-4 conference record, only QW vs. Siena.
VCU (16-6, 61): No QW.
George Mason (15-6, 59): No QW.
UAB (14-8, 45): No QW.
Illinois State (18-4, 60): No QW.
Creighton (17-6, 73): Best win vs. Dayton.
San Diego State (15-5, 53): SOS of 84 doesn't help.
Arizona (14-8, 62): 4-5 conference record.
Stanford (13-6, 69): 3-6 conference record.
LSU (17-4, 55): SOS of 111, best wins against Tennessee and Arkansas.

Next Bracket: February 9